ATP Hangzhou Best Bets: Predictions and Value Picks for September 18, 2025
The ATP 250 Hangzhou tournament is underway, and we've analyzed the matchups to bring you the best betting opportunities for the 1/16-Finals on September 18, 2025. Our analysis includes Hijikata vs. Ugo Carabelli, Berrettini vs. Svrcina, and Kovacevic vs. Royer.
Rinky Hijikata vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Prediction
Rinky Hijikata will face Camilo Ugo Carabelli on 18.09.2025 at 07:30 CEST. This is their first head-to-head meeting. Hijikata has shown good form recently, winning three of his last five matches. He successfully qualified for the main draw in Hangzhou, defeating Holt in straight sets. Ugo Carabelli, on the other hand, has struggled, losing four of his last five matches. His last appearance was at the US Open, where he lost to Etcheverry. He generally struggles on hard courts.
Our best bet for this match is Hijikata to win. He is a slight favorite according to bookmakers, and we agree. Ugo Carabelli is primarily a clay-court specialist, making the fast courts of Hangzhou unfavorable for him. We anticipate Hijikata will dominate with his serve and secure the victory.
Value bet: Rinky Hijikata winning @1.50 @bet365
Matteo Berrettini vs. Dalibor Svrcina: Prediction
Matteo Berrettini will play against Dalibor Svrcina on 18.09.2025 at 09:00 CEST. This is also their first head-to-head encounter. Berrettini has lost three of his last five matches, with his most recent match being at Wimbledon over two months ago, where he lost to Majchrzak. He has been battling injuries. Svrcina has won three of his last five matches. Although he failed to qualify in Hangzhou, losing to Zeppieri, he entered the main draw as a lucky loser.
While bookmakers favor Berrettini, we believe Svrcina offers value. Berrettini hasn't played competitively for several weeks. Svrcina is a capable hard-court player, and we foresee him keeping the match competitive.
Value bet: Dalibor Svrcina +3.5 games handicap @2.10 @bet365
Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Valentin Royer: Prediction
Aleksandar Kovacevic will face Valentin Royer on 18.09.2025 at 09:00 CEST. This is their first head-to-head match. Kovacevic has lost four of his last five matches. His last match was at the US Open, where he lost to Wong. This marks his debut in Hangzhou. Royer has won three of his last five matches and successfully qualified for the main draw, defeating Spizzirri after a grueling three-hour match.
We agree with the bookmakers who have Royer as the slight favourite. He has performed well this season and has entered the top 100 in the rankings. Kovacevic has primarily competed on the Challenger Tour. Royer's strong performance in the qualifying tournament suggests he will continue his form.
Value bet: Valentin Royer winning @1.67 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
