Zachary Reese vs. Sedriques Dumas: Predictions, Preview, and Betting Odds for Noche UFC
This weekend at Noche UFC 3, Zachary Reese and Sedriques Dumas are set to clash in a middleweight bout that promises excitement. Both fighters are looking for consistency after experiencing both highs and lows in their professional MMA careers. This preview delves into their strengths, weaknesses, and the betting odds surrounding the fight.
Zachary Reese: The Explosive Powerhouse
Zachary Reese (9-2) brings explosive knockout power to the octagon. The 30-year-old switch-stance fighter stands at 6'4" with a 77-inch reach, giving him a significant physical advantage. He lands 4.28 significant strikes per minute with 54% accuracy. Reese is known for his aggressive striking style, but his defensive vulnerabilities, absorbing 2.99 strikes per minute with 43% defense, could be a concern.
Beyond striking, Reese also averages 2.88 takedowns per fight with 58% accuracy, and defends 57% of takedown attempts. He also attempts 1.2 submissions per fight, showcasing his well-rounded skill set. As Reese himself says about feeling at home in the UFC, “It does feel that way... It feels like my regional fights; it feels all the same.”
Sedriques Dumas: The Developing Grappler
Sedriques Dumas (10-3) is a 29-year-old orthodox fighter measuring 6'2" with a 79-inch reach. He lands 2.10 significant strikes per minute with 45% accuracy. Dumas shows better defensive awareness than his opponent, absorbing 2.50 strikes per minute while defending 55% of attacks. However, his grappling numbers are still developing, averaging 1.25 takedowns per fight with 35% accuracy and defending just 40% of takedown attempts.
Adding an unusual element to his profile, Dumas has previously withdrawn from a fight due to legal issues related to an ankle monitor, highlighting the unpredictable nature of his career.
MMA Betting Odds and Predictions
FanDuel has installed Zachary Reese as the favorite at -235, while Sedriques Dumas is the underdog at +194. These odds reflect Reese's superior striking output and recent decision win. The oddsmakers also suggest a higher likelihood of a KO/TKO finish at -115, compared to a submission finish at +190 or the fight going to the judges at +330.
Fight Analysis and Pick
The outcome of this fight depends on whether Dumas can withstand Reese's early aggression. Reese’s striking volume and submission threats provide multiple paths to victory if he can weather any early storms. The significant activity gap between the two fighters, with Reese landing 4.28 strikes per minute compared to Dumas's 2.10, suggests that Reese should eventually gain an advantage.
Considering these factors, we are predicting Zachary Reese to win via KO/TKO.
| Fighter | Zachary Reese | Sedriques Dumas |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-2 | 10-3 |
| Significant Strikes Landed (Per Minute) | 4.28 | 2.10 |
| Striking Accuracy | 54% | 45% |
| Takedown Accuracy | 58% | 35% |
(All odds taken from FanDuel. Image Credit: Sam Navarro – Imagn Images)